10/20 NL 6handed

[Trix]

I hope you are kidding, this is a really bad board to bluff your whole stack as you rep exactly one very unlikely hand.

[WordWhiz]

gonores--no way I bluff off my stack here with 33. Ever heard of Zeebo's theorem? No one folds a full house ever. Villain is *never* folding QQ-AA, and rarely folding 88-JJ. Preflop call indicates a drawing hand like small pair or connectors. Flop changes nothing--if villain was ahead before, he still is. He knows this. Yeah, maybe you'll occasionally smooth call with a big hand, but this is rare. Against very aggressive opener, raise the flop, shut down to further action. Or call flop, fold turn if he 2nd barrels, otherwise bet. Never bluff off your whole stack here.

[gonores]

Cmon... Simple game theory dictates you should be bluffing in that spot from time to time. Not saying you should bluff all the time, but what hands in your range are you raising the turn with? It seems like you're only raising quads or quads. I'd think that is problematic

[WordWhiz]

Actually, game theory dictates that when your opponent's folding frequency is 0%, your bluffing frequency should be 0% as well. It's probably not that extreme here, but I guarantee you villain is never folding a big overpair here in fear of quads, and only rarely folding a medium overpair.

[jstill]

these stakes are way above my head, but I think bluffing here is pretty stupid unless you have a great read on your opponent and his tendencies. things liek zeebo theorem (hes not gonna fold big pairs cuz u rep quads, and hes not gonna put u on a big pairs cuz u didnt 3 bet pre) and not running bluffs at players who could stack off light seem to make this a pretty straight up peel or fold spot.

Personally here im not sure, I think preflop is a call after the flop I dont think your doing well enough against his range of hands that raises utg and then dont hit the six outter enough to justify a peel of 150 to win 310. I dont think we will be winning that often on the river, altho i havent run any simulations. Im also assuming when he checks the turn we ck behind cuz betting to protect vs six outters wont be worth the investment with how often hes ck calling for pot control with mid pairs.

Also running an advanced multi street bluff in this once raised and c bet pot doesnt seem worth it at all, strictly from a math standpoint Im skeptical of the success to investment ratio to make it +EV