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Old 08-10-2007, 06:21 PM
Pudge714 Pudge714 is offline
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Join Date: May 2005
Location: The Black Kelly Holcomb
Posts: 13,713
Default Re: Beta \"Hellkat\" on party

FoldALot,
Well if he is good he should be calling ATC.
If you win at showdown.
You get 50% of the prize pool if you lose at showdown you get 20% of the prize pool.

So P(win).50 + P(lose).20 > .30
At P(win) = 1/3rd it is neutral EV.
You should be shoving everything except 32o.
It gets trickier if he isn't calling with ATC.
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