4/180 - QQ on AAx flop

[All_In_Olly]

Thanks to all for your feedback.

I actually checked on the flop and villain checked behind.

The turn card was as below.

I don't want to drag this out longer than the hand deserves, but now that I have a draw to the 2nd best flush, what's my action?




PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em Tourney, Big Blind is t30 (9 handed) Hand History Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com (Format: 2+2 Forums)

Hero (t1620)
UTG (t1280)
UTG+1 (t1430)
MP1 (t3360)
MP2 (t1280)
MP3 (t1540)
CO (t1510)
Button (t790)
SB (t890)

Preflop: Hero is BB with Q[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], Q[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img].
<font color="#666666">5 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">CO raises to t120</font>, <font color="#666666">2 folds</font>, <font color="#CC3333">Hero raises to t480</font>, CO calls t360.

Flop: (t975) A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] <font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero checks, CO checks.

Turn: (t975) A[img]/images/graemlins/spade.gif[/img], 9[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], A[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img], 5[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img]<font color="#0000FF">(2 players)</font>
Hero ?



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[supair]

argh! this messes with my head. look at the pot size, can we define our hand without being pot committed? I think now the flush card has come we cant get away from it and we just shove em in now. If it had come a non flush card, thats the one I couldnt handle. Id want to lead to prevent him representing the ace with a bet we cant call due to stack sizes, can we bet say 350, leaving us with what, 800? and shut down completly if hes still there? I suppose we can with the blinds being so low.

Whats this guys range? being a 4/180 and with the stuff ive seen going on, id say something like...

A8s+, A10o+, 66+, KQs. I think all these without reads in a 4/180 can and will call a reraise from the button.

If hes not a retard? AQs+ 1010+.

With the Qh I reckon Id take a chance at a double up, although i personally think he'll have a big ace.

Without doing all the math, Im pretty certain that if 1010 and JJ are in his range along with KK, AQ and AK, and he DOESNT have the Kh, this is massively +EV and we can shove all day.

If hes a decent player, we might even fold KK if theres no Kh involved, which would be nice.

[Sherman]

Although we are a bit short for it, I'd be inclined to check/shove if I thought I had any FE at all. Of course, I'd really be happy if he checked behind.