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#1
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point taken...but will there be a better time with only 7BBs left and 4-handed?
if I put his range as any ace, any king, possibly any queen and any suited connectors plus maybe a 10% chance of an overpair, is the call not +EV based on the 10k already in there? |
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#2
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this might be very marginally +EV on this hand, but you've got to consider oppurtunity cost. If you fold you are going to have better oppurtunities to get you stack all in which have much greater +EV. In fact I'd rather be first in with ATC than call this here.
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#3
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The risk of eliminating yourself makes it -EV, IMO.
I think its better to push with any hand than call with 22. 70k in this scenario is not a very small amount. |
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#4
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also, by folding there is a chance one of the others gets out before you go all in again, which alone is $500
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#5
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[ QUOTE ]
also, by folding there is a chance one of the others gets out before you go all in again, which alone is $500 [/ QUOTE ] the extra $500 is pretty irrelevant tbh I'd like to get some workings on whether this is +EV and CEV based on the range I've assigned villain. My gut said 50/50 with 10k invested i.e. calling 70 to win 90 which made it a call I'm primarily a cash player (usually only play live tournies) so would be interested to see if anyone could help me out on the maths |
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#6
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[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] also, by folding there is a chance one of the others gets out before you go all in again, which alone is $500 [/ QUOTE ] the extra $500 is pretty irrelevant tbh... I'm primarily a cash player .... [/ QUOTE ] At this stage in the tourney you MUST be thinking about payouts, +EV in chips can very easily be -EV in dollers. |
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#7
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[ QUOTE ]
At this stage in the tourney you MUST be thinking about payouts, +EV in chips can very easily be -EV in dollers. [/ QUOTE ] lol, sorry I didn't want to give the impression I was some kind of eccentric millionaire who didn't care about money! of course I cared about the money, my thinking was: 1. I need a double up, pronto 2. If I call and win, SB is eliminated. I will have 160k and a very good shot at taking the whole thing down. 3. We are so shallow that I genuinely may not find a better spot before my stack is decimated further 4. I believe I am in a 50/50 spot and am thus priced in favourably by my BB. it's a very interesting spot - razor thin imo. I posted it on my usual poker forum and the responses were divided. The feedback here is also interesting in that no-one has said call yet. I'm happy to be called a donkey for calling! |
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#8
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Is SB shoving any two here, top 80%, top 50%?
How light are the big stacks calling pushes? |
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