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#2
07-01-2007, 08:29 AM
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Re: ** Event 48: $1,000 Limit 2 to 7 Triple Draw Lowball w/Rebuys **
expletive 20th expletive
basically, with 26 left the shortstack got allin twice and made a wheel and so I went from 50k to 30k basically without having a chance. then 54322 bricked 3x vs ferguson's 86(7)43? a rough 1 card draw. Blaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaah 
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#3
07-01-2007, 01:36 PM
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Re: ** Event 48: $1,000 Limit 2 to 7 Triple Draw Lowball w/Rebuys **
[ QUOTE ]
expletive 20th expletive basically, with 26 left the shortstack got allin twice and made a wheel and so I went from 50k to 30k basically without having a chance. then 54322 bricked 3x vs ferguson's 86(7)43? a rough 1 card draw. Blaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaah [/ QUOTE ] bad news - <font class="small">Code:</font><hr /><pre> http://twodimes.net/h/?z=2817841 pokenum -l27 2d 3d 4s 5h - 8s 6s 4h 3h 5-card Draw 2-7 Lowball: 1892 enumerated outcomes cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV 4s 3d 2d 5h 933 49.31 959 50.69 0 0.00 0.493 8s 6s 4h 3h 959 50.69 933 49.31 0 0.00 0.507 </pre><hr /> No sweat, most people over-value 2345. The code above is for a singe draw and doesn't factor dead cards of course and I assumed suits arent a factor in the hand, but its kind of shocking to see.
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#4
07-01-2007, 01:57 PM
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Re: ** Event 48: $1,000 Limit 2 to 7 Triple Draw Lowball w/Rebuys **
[ QUOTE ]
No sweat, most people over-value 2345. The code above is for a singe draw and doesn't factor dead cards of course and I assumed suits arent a factor in the hand, but its kind of shocking to see. [/ QUOTE ] The 3 draws definitely makes a difference.
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#5
07-01-2007, 02:45 PM
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Re: ** Event 48: $1,000 Limit 2 to 7 Triple Draw Lowball w/Rebuys **
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] No sweat, most people over-value 2345. The code above is for a singe draw and doesn't factor dead cards of course and I assumed suits arent a factor in the hand, but its kind of shocking to see. [/ QUOTE ] The 3 draws definitely makes a difference. [/ QUOTE ] Oddly its barely a blip. lets say BugStud had 23459, the only pat hand he could make that would lose to villain's range of 3468. Villain is 1:4 favorite over three draws, and becomes a 1.44:1 dog with one draw remaining. Interesting isnt it? Of course Villain has zero outs if hero hits a 7 or an 8, but he has 10 outs if hero hits a 9. Conversely Villain has 3.64 weighted outs vs Bugstud if the hero hits a pat hand catching a 7,8 or 9, and is 5.24:1 against improving with 2 draws remaining. four 6's kill the hero's hand, four 7's and three 8's help him win. Villain needs one of three duces, three 5s or 4 sevens. The hands are remarkably close in equity in a HU scenario.
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