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#5
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This is expert. MP2s range is AA/KK/QQ/KQ at this point, weighted more toward AA, KK and QQ.(40/10s tend to limp KQ along, what is your sample size?)
SB almost certainly has a straight or a flush at this point. The only time that you're still ahead is when MP2 has AA and SB is playing some kind of spewtard KT, QT, or T8. Otherwise, your K and Q outs are not safe(and likely taken by MP2), this turn gets 3 bet a ton(when you're drawing to a single out in a 18BB pot, and you're dominated by their combined ranges. You have 4 clean outs, and maybe 1-2 more tops for K and Q. Getting 14:2 is major, but I'm not thinking twice after folding this. I think I normally bet the turn, because showing that much strength might allow me to get to the river cheapest and charge the heart if I'm still ahead. nh sir. |
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