Re: Nothing ... adds ... up
Well your hand looks like KK QQ. If you'd c/c these hands on the flop than he might be checking the turn to get some more value from you on the river, knowing that you'd fold these hands to another bet. Basically what kind of hands are you not cbetting here? Or was it just a random play against a not-paying-attention donk? Not many people will bluff-raise river after checking behind the turn. It just looks so fishy that they people are too afraid to do so. If he was bluffing he'd rather fire again on turn, knowing that your c/c on flop after raising PF is so weak. I'd say his range is here A2, 22 (I might be a bit result oriented but at first I thought - wtf, 22 obviously) and AQ and AT and random bluff very rarely. He'd just call river with weaker aces imo. You're getting 3-1 here so I think it might be neutral in terms of EV. Would lean towards folding though (yeah I know results oriented, but again - people bluff-raise river very rarely and only hand we beat that he valueraises here is AQ IMO, and maybe AT 4,28% of the time. Meh I don't know if anything I wrote makes sense but it's kinda late here.
Would like to hear a bit more about not cbetting logic here - what hands are you checking this flop with?
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