idiot!

[jt1]

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"Either way, you are still improving your equity by raising."
Yeah but ur improving your equity in a smaller pot.

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Go ahead an ream me, but why is the pot smaller? If BB folds and UTG calls then the pot is bigger than if you had just called and allowed BB to call.


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Yeah if you're like a 20% favorite against the bettor, the pot has to be unrealistically huge to raise to protect yourself from ~5 outers in the third player's hand.

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If BB has a 2 outer than you want him in because his contribution helps soften the blow when you're behind as you probably are. (Though I believe that if you knew that UTG had Jacks and BB had Eights then you should raise to get BB out or pay extravagently....you gain .7 bb by allowing them both to pay 1 bb and gain 1.3 bb by forcing BB out and having UTG pay 2 bb.)

If BB has a 5 outer then his equity is 1.5 bb. By forcing him out you gain those but have to risk 2 bb to do it. If BB calls then you gain .5 bb by risking 2 bb. So if BB calls 50% and folds 50% then you need to be ahead only 33% of the time to make raising correct. Actually, much less than that because UTG will rarely 3-bet you.

If BB has a 9 outer than raising gets you .4 bb. He's still should call but, at least, your gaining equity. But you need to be ahead 80% of the time for raising to be correct: Certainly you ahead far less than that.

If BB has 13 outs then you should definitely not raise.

I said hero should raise because BB most likely has a pair of tens and UTG has a pair of Kings (AK) and won't 3-bet. But now I think that a fd would be just as likely as top pair for BB and for that reason calling down may be better.

But I'll talk this over with my guy. Though I'd appreciate your response too.