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Old 04-15-2007, 05:40 AM
marchron marchron is offline
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Default Re: There are 46 possible rivers - this is the worst one

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The two CC's are very disturbing. Obviously, I feel a large percentage of the time, one of them is on the FD.

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CO's playing is entirely consistent w/ KQ

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These are both incorrect, DUCY?

As played, I like the cool-call here. Your stats on CO are obviously not that great, but 27 hands is enough to know that he does not raise light, and you don't want to be 3-betting OOP to a possible monster. But you'll have two other dummies padding the pot.

Flop raise is meh; a 67 VPIP means that his 1.7 AF is psychonuts, so he's betting with an awful lot here, and you may still be good. The problem is the times you're not you're just bloating the pot.

Why, in the name of God, after you hit your perfect card, did you not check/raise the turn? CO will bet again, and now you have him crushed unless he has JJ. You're also cutting down the proper odds for the other two dopes to draw.

River is a bet; call if either of the two monkeys raise, but fold if superpassive BB raises or if it's ever two back to you.
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