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Old 02-20-2006, 05:58 PM
W. Deranged W. Deranged is offline
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Default Re: Big action on a 1-suited flop

[ QUOTE ]
What to y'all place the probability of a flush being out here as?

[/ QUOTE ]

It's certainly not 93%. Maybe something like 50% or so... As I said, I think it's low enough that three-betting the turn should at least be considered.
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Old 02-20-2006, 08:52 PM
psuasskicker psuasskicker is offline
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Default Re: Big action on a 1-suited flop

It's certainly not 93%. Maybe something like 50% or so... As I said, I think it's low enough that three-betting the turn should at least be considered.

Maybe lower. I don't even worry about the one player. He's almost for sure flush drawing with a big heart. Just makes it less likely the other guy actually has a heart. He could also easily think you're on a hand like K[img]/images/graemlins/heart.gif[/img] K[img]/images/graemlins/diamond.gif[/img] and that he can bluff you off if his flush draw doesn't get there.

There are so many hands he could have here...

That said, I don't like reraising the turn, cause if he does have a flush, he'll almost for sure cap it and bet the river (unless a heart comes and he doesn't have the Ace).

I do think this river is worth betting if he checks, and no way do I fold to a cr if I bet it.

- C -
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