ask me about fantasy baseball v.2007

[MikeyPatriot]

League: Standard 5x5 roto keeper league. 11 teams, $260 payroll.

Proposed trade to me.

I get:

Chien-ming Wang SP NYY $10

He gets

Jhonny Peralta SS CLE $10

Through same basic research, Wang seems to have more value for his contract, but that doesn't take into account that he'll be out for a month or more. The draft is next week and the only pitchers I'll have on the roster are Brandon McCarthy and Jeremy Sowers. If I trade Peralta, I'll have to pick up someone in the draft as well.

[ASPoker8]

12Team Roto (H, HR, RBI, SB, AVG, OBP, IP, W, SV, K, ERA, WHIP)

ROUND 1
1. Devon - Pujols
2. Ryan - R. Howard
3. Brendan - J. Santana
4. Mike - Reyes
5. ASPoker8 - Soriano
6. Doug - A. Rodriguez
7. Jarvis - David Ortiz
8. Bobby - Carlos Beltran
9. Dave - C. Utley
10. Rob - M. Cabrera
11. Chris - Crawford
12. TJ - C. Carpenter

ROUND 2
1. TJ - Vlad. Guerrero
2. Chris - D. Wright
3. Rob - Hafner
4. Dave - Berkman
5. Ryan (from Bobby) - M. Ramirez
6. Jarvis - R. Oswalt
7. Doug - G. Sizemore
8. ASPoker8 - M. Tejada
9. Mike - M. Teixeira
10. Brendan - J. Mauer
11. Bobby (from Ryan) - J. Peavy
12. Devon - D. Jeter

ROUND 3
1. Devon - Carlos Lee
2. Bobby (from Ryan) - Jason Bay
3. Brendan - J. Morneau
4. Mike - Vernon Wells
5. ASPoker8 - Matt Holliday
6. Doug - Ichiro Suzuki
7. Jarvis - H. Ramirez
8. Ryan (from Bobby) - A. Ramirez
9. Dave - R. Halladay
10. Rob - C. Zambrano
11. Chris - Kazmir
12. TJ - Derek Lee

ROUND 4
1. TJ - J. Nathan
2. Chris - McCann
3. Rob - B. Abreu
4. Dave - F. Rodriguez
5. Bobby - V. Martinez
6. Jarvis - B. Webb
7. Doug - J. Smoltz
8. ASPoker8 - G. Atkins
9. Mike - Lackey
10. Brendan - Michael Young
11. Ryan - D. Matsuzaka
12. Devon - Figgins

ROUND 5
1. Devon - B. Ryan
2. Ryan - C. Sabathia
3. Brendan - B. Wagner
4. Mike - Mariano Rivera
5. ASPoker8 - A. Jones
6. Doug - Brian Roberts
7. Jarvis - J. Dye
8. Ryan (from Bobby) - R. Cano
9. Dave - Konerko
10. Rob - Rollins
11. Chris - C. Hamels
12. TJ - R. Furcal

ROUND 6
1. TJ - H. Matsui
2. Chris - Bonderman
3. Rob - B. Sheets
4. Dave - Harang
5. Bobby - T. Glaus
6. Jarvis - T. Hoffman
7. Doug - F. Hernandez
8. ASPoker8 - J. Schmidt
9. Mike - R. Harden
10. Brendan - D. Haren
11. Bobby (from Ryan) - Papelbon
12. Devon - Matt Cain

ROUND 7
1. Devon - Brett Myers
2. Ryan - Prince Fielder
3. Brendan - Dontrelle Willis
4. Mike - Barry Zito
5. ASPoker8 - Jered Weaver
6. Doug - Josh Beckett
7. Jarvis - C. Young
8. Bobby - Randy Johnson
9. Dave - C. Guillen
10. Rob - Carlos Delgado
11. Chris - H. Street
12. TJ - Johnny Damon

ROUND 8
1. TJ - Chipper Jones
2. Chris - R. Baldelli
3. Rob - E. Bedard
4. Dave - Scott Rolen
5. TJ (from Bobby) - Jason Giambi
6. Jarvis - Jim Thome
7. Doug - Gary Sheffield
8. ASPoker8 - J. Verlander
9. Mike - A. Dunn
10. Brendan - R. Zimmerman
11. Ryan - Delmon Young
12. Devon - C. Schilling

ROUND 9
1. Devon - Markakis
2. Ryan - M. Barrett
3. Brendan - Putz
4. Mike - N. Swisher
5. ASPoker8 – Juan Pierre
6. Doug -
7. Jarvis -
8. Bobby -
9. Dave -
10. Rob -
11. Chris -
12. Bobby (from TJ) -

ROUND 10
1. Bobby (from TJ) -
2. Chris -
3. Rob -
4. Dave -
5. Bobby -
6. Jarvis -
7. Doug -
8. ASPoker8 -
9. Mike -
10. Brendan -
11. Ryan -
12. Devon -

C
1B
2B
3B Garrett Atkins
SS Miguel Tejada
OF Alfonso Soriano
OF Matt Holliday
OF Andruw Jones
Util Juan Pierre


SP Jason Schmidt
RP
P Jered Weaver
P Justin Verlander
P
P

5 Bench
1 DL


1. HOW HAVE I DONE THUS FAR?
2. WHO ARE SOME GREAT PLAYERS I SHOULD BE HOPING SLIDE TO ME FOR MY NEXT PICK?
3. WHAT SHOULD MY STRATEGY BE FOR THE REST OF THE DRAFT? PLEASE INCLUDE ANY ADVICE [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

[crockpot]

[ QUOTE ]

1. HOW HAVE I DONE THUS FAR?
2. WHO ARE SOME GREAT PLAYERS I SHOULD BE HOPING SLIDE TO ME FOR MY NEXT PICK?
3. WHAT SHOULD MY STRATEGY BE FOR THE REST OF THE DRAFT? PLEASE INCLUDE ANY ADVICE [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]

1. you get an A for approach thus far, and you selected some good hitters who will play well in this league (though i take mauer over tejada every day of the week), but i'm not a big fan of the SP you took, such as verlander over schilling.

2. alex gordon is one sleeper with big BA/OBP potential. dave roberts should be a good value but may not fit into your already steals-heavy lineup, forcing a trade. helton is another guy who benefits from the setup.

3. assuming weekly transactions, keep the focus strictly on hitters and SP; you may even want to draft a RP-eligible guy like wainwright for your RP spot to rack up more innings. with daily, you can afford to take a few closers. keep the hitting focus on guys who are up in the batting order to provide H and OBP.

[NT!]

ok. in a 12 team roto league, 6x6 that added holds. mentioned above. (ERA W SV K WHIP HD). how far up do i move really good setup men like linebrink, shields, etc? there are a lot of guys who are projected to be way up there in holds who are probably not even drafted in a lot of leagues... should i wait to see if people are overdrafting for holds or start taking elite setup guys early and try to take advantage of this category? also seem to be some great 'sleeper' guys for holds with good K, WHIP, and ERA projections, like Qualls, Duscherer, Rodney, Meredith, Neshek, etc.

this is my first fantasy draft ever tonight so any advice on in-draft strategy, analyzing how others are picking, and where to place setup men in this format would be a big help.

[crockpot]

[ QUOTE ]
ok. in a 12 team roto league, 6x6 that added holds. mentioned above. (ERA W SV K WHIP HD). how far up do i move really good setup men like linebrink, shields, etc? there are a lot of guys who are projected to be way up there in holds who are probably not even drafted in a lot of leagues... should i wait to see if people are overdrafting for holds or start taking elite setup guys early and try to take advantage of this category? also seem to be some great 'sleeper' guys for holds with good K, WHIP, and ERA projections, like Qualls, Duscherer, Rodney, Meredith, Neshek, etc.

this is my first fantasy draft ever tonight so any advice on in-draft strategy, analyzing how others are picking, and where to place setup men in this format would be a big help.

[/ QUOTE ]

move them up a lot.

in a vacuum, a hold is more valuable than a save since there will be fewer of them in your league. in practice, unless your opponents are playing well, holds will be less heavily contested than saves, and the top holds guys will last much logner than elite closers. this reduces the marginal gain from adding another top holds guy when you already have a few. (the same reason you don't draft four closers in a 16-teamer unless you intend to trade one.)

[NT!]

[ QUOTE ]
move them up a lot.

in a vacuum, a hold is more valuable than a save since there will be fewer of them in your league. in practice, unless your opponents are playing well, holds will be less heavily contested than saves, and the top holds guys will last much logner than elite closers. this reduces the marginal gain from adding another top holds guy when you already have a few. (the same reason you don't draft four closers in a 16-teamer unless you intend to trade one.)

[/ QUOTE ]

oh yeah, another thing: we carry five starters, three relievers, one other P and seven bench players. so i can probably cobble some stuff together from late bloomers, callups, etc.

[crockpot]

[ QUOTE ]
League: Standard 5x5 roto keeper league. 11 teams, $260 payroll.

Proposed trade to me.

I get:

Chien-ming Wang SP NYY $10

He gets

Jhonny Peralta SS CLE $10

Through same basic research, Wang seems to have more value for his contract, but that doesn't take into account that he'll be out for a month or more. The draft is next week and the only pitchers I'll have on the roster are Brandon McCarthy and Jeremy Sowers. If I trade Peralta, I'll have to pick up someone in the draft as well.

[/ QUOTE ]

honestly i wouldn't keep either for $10 (if it's mixed; AL only is another story), but if you put a gun to my head i take wang.

[MikeyPatriot]

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
League: Standard 5x5 roto keeper league. 11 teams, $260 payroll.

Proposed trade to me.

I get:

Chien-ming Wang SP NYY $10

He gets

Jhonny Peralta SS CLE $10

Through same basic research, Wang seems to have more value for his contract, but that doesn't take into account that he'll be out for a month or more. The draft is next week and the only pitchers I'll have on the roster are Brandon McCarthy and Jeremy Sowers. If I trade Peralta, I'll have to pick up someone in the draft as well.

[/ QUOTE ]

honestly i wouldn't keep either for $10 (if it's mixed; AL only is another story), but if you put a gun to my head i take wang.

[/ QUOTE ]

It is AL only. I knew I forgot something in my league description. If it's close I'll probably just pass on the trade.

[NT!]

when adding OPS to a league, is it safe to say that '5-tool' guys like a-rod, utley, soriano, etc become even more valuable? i.e. take them over a pure slugger if it's close since having pure speed guys in the lineup is more of a drain on OPS?

basically i am thinking my major adjustments when adding OPS and holds are

-pure speed guys like figgins, roberts drop a lot
-5-tool guys and 20/20 types go up
-closers go down, setup guys go up but beware overpaying as holds will probably not be too tough to come by in the form of late bloomers, callups, etc due to the nature of the bullpen
-am planning to emphasize offense early even more than usual
-not counting IP means high K/9, low WHIP relievers go up even more, hence starting pitching also goes down somewhat
-power and OPS at the offensively weak positions becomes more valuable for similar reasons that five-tool guys go up in value - so 2B like Kent and Ray Durham, among the highest projected OPS in the league, go up

anything i'm missing? draft in 1.5 hours... thanks!

[Shadowrun]

when you think you want a pitcher wait a round than keep waiting