DERB

[Andrew Prock]

[ QUOTE ]
They aren't ignoring the hard numbers. The numbers tell you that there is a 95% chance that he is a winner. Lots of people play the 30/60, he seems to be a lottery winner, that 5% one. Even if you put his stats into 99% or 99.99% confidence intervals the argument is still valid.

[/ QUOTE ]

Math is hard. The numbers don't say there's a 95% chance he's a winner. They say something else entirely.

When you start asserting that he's a lottery winner, the question then becomes:

"How do we know that James isn't the lottery winner?"

- Andrew

www.pokerstove.com