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#1
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If he's the type to limp 22/33 and lead with draws with 150BB's, I'd take kolotoure's line
If he's not, I'd push the turn. |
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#2
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blind war = nevafold!
but seriously... ppl do stupid stuff in the blinds at this level, especially if you have a true lag image. I push. |
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#3
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What are we putting him on? I doubt he does this with complete air.
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#4
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call and check/fold unless a non-pairing spade comes or you fill up. i really hope you fill since it isnt easy to get paid if you flush comes unless he sucks/is on tilt
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#5
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If villain has 54,33,22 we have 13 outs are getting the right odds to at least call. I'd disregard 66. He could have QQ, of course, but even then we have 9 outs and I doubt he can fold his top set to a river bet.
That leaves only the question to push or not to push. After playing tight for 25 minutes I doubt villain will feel antsy all of a sudden and go crazy with a semi-bluff check-raise on the turn with let's say As4s or even AsKs. But he could genuinely be thinking his hand is best with AQ,KQ,AA,KK. The problem is those aren't limping hands but villain might have been trying to trap the LAG-Hero. If we think we can safely fold to a river bet, I'd say call plus fold river unimproved. If we intend to call the river just push it now. As ikestoys said,it's a blind war and top two pair plus flush draw is pretty much a monster. |
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#6
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Really tough hand but I don't think a decent player can have anything but a straight here, perhaps a set a small percentage of the time as well.
He overbet the pot into you on the flop and called a hefty reraise which I see as most likely being a draw... perhaps he has top pair with a solid kicker that he failed to raise preflop, even AA/KK but I think his checkraise on the turn abandons these possibilities. Most players, after slowplaying these hands preflop and facing resistance on the flop, are content to just checkcall the turn and river. With implied odds your technically ok to call the turn with your flush and boat draw. However, I know if I called the turn and missed I would still have a tough time folding to a river shove (bad discipline). So I can't really say folding the turn is all that bad if that's what you did! |
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#7
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We don't really need implied odds to call unless we are facing QQ,66 or 5s4s. We are offered 2.72:1 and have 13 outs against 54,33,22.
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#8
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Here's what went through my head.
When he first lead out with the overbet of 6 on the flop, and called my raise to 22 OOP, I was pretty sure he had some type of draw. When he checkraised me on the turn, I was pretty positive that he had 45, and no flushdraw. I'm convinced that he would 4bet with a set on the flop. So I tanked and called. River was a useless 9d. Before calling the turn, I said to myself that I would most likely fold UI. He insta-shoves river. And stupid as I was, I convinced myself to call the small amount. Which I hated myself for the rest of the day, and quit the session because of that. So much for analyzing and sticking to your read, but in the heat of fire - things sometimes gets really messy. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] He showed 45o. |
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#9
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[ QUOTE ]
blind war = nevafold! but seriously... ppl do stupid stuff in the blinds at this level, especially if you have a true lag image. I push. [/ QUOTE ] Agreed. Also, has no one ever limped KK or AA in their SB? |
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#10
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If he has been passive he won't play the turn like this with an overpair
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