30/60 Bellagio AJs Take 2

[private joker]

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i think the turn 3bet is pretty standard...villain played this hand like most people play an A...our hand beats most aces...

and joker...i highly doubt that you would check behind that river if you had played the hand...

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You're probably right about the river.

But as for the turn I think there are more combos of bluffs and draws and weak pairs than there are Aces, since it would have to be the case ace. Based on that I just call the turn and call the river. That sounds weak, but I'm not doing it because I think we're beat -- I'm doing it because I think we make just as much or more when we're ahead and save a lot more when we're behind. (Also, the reason I fear she folds to the turn 3-bet is because in Vegas, unlike L.A., people actually fold).

[JadeLane]

This is true. But also in Vegas people tend not to be as aggresive with draws and Smaller pairs. When she checkraises here i put her on the case. Otherwise i feel she just check calls.

[7ontheline]

Calling the river at this point seems like a no-brainer.

The interesting part of the hand is the turn action. Raising is correct if she has: the case ace with worse kicker or a flush draw. It is incorrect if she is bluffing or has a really weak hand, or if she has a better ace (unlikely, given no pf raise) or a boat already (also probably unlikely). If she has a medium strength hand here (say, an 8 or higher pair) then it depends, right? Given the description of the player, it sounds like she wouldn't fold so it would raising is correct, right? So, is she likely to get tricky with a draw or a bluff here? Sounds like no, although clearly only OP knows. So, does she have a worse ace more often than a better hand? I would imagine so. Doesn't that make 3-balling the turn correct, assuming OP's reads are correct? Certainly, this would be a different play against an unknown or a different player. I think then the call turn c/r, call river/bet if checked to line is more profitable.