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Old 01-17-2007, 01:44 PM
jba jba is offline
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Join Date: Feb 2005
Posts: 9,596
Default Re: 30/60 @ Wynn

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a) not leading flop


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you are a huge favorite and you're going to make nearly 2x as much by check raising, leading is bad unless he will raise with a huge portion of his hands including air (enough that a 3bet is good). this is rare though, check/raise is much better.

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b) not trying to check raise the turn

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super bad, he should know you have a pair on this dry board so if he has overcards he's not going to bet.

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c) not lead betting the river

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this is lots closer. he may call but not bet with bad sevens, small pocket pairs, and even decent ace high hands, so you're losing money by checking against that range. however a huge portion of the time you bet he's going to fold, and you are losing money by betting there. I'd lean towards betting but this is the closest spot in the hand by far.
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