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  #1  
Old 12-21-2006, 06:43 PM
Evan Evans Evan Evans is offline
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Posts: 48
Default Re: Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I\'m Doing It

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You need:
a) Winrate over the sample (x)
b) Number of hands (n)
c) Standard Deviation (found on the "More Info" window) (s)

You can then calculate it as follows:

For a 95% Confidence Interval:
x <u>+</u> 1.96 * s/sqrt(n)

For a 99% Confidence Interval:
x <u>+</u> 2.5758 * s/sqrt(n)

Standard Deviations tend to be pretty large, so expect the ranges to be large, as well.

[/ QUOTE ]Ok, here's what PT shows currently on a set of:

12607 hands
11.73 BB/100
30.7998 Big Bets SD/100

So, uh, what's that do for you? How do I reverse engineer a confidence rate from those numbers?

Evan Evans

[/ QUOTE ]

for the biggest winner in poker ever, you suck at math. he gave you the goddam formula. you dont have a calculator?

[/ QUOTE ]No he didn't. What he gave isn't even an equation. You go ahead and try and solve it.

Evan Evans
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  #2  
Old 12-21-2006, 08:06 PM
Big_Jim Big_Jim is offline
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Default Re: Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I\'m Doing It

[ QUOTE ]
What he gave isn't even an equation.

[/ QUOTE ]
Uh... yes it is. What the heck would you call it?

rvg did the calculation right, although his work looks a bit weird.

Of course, remember that 12k hands isn't really enough to get a very random sample.
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  #3  
Old 12-21-2006, 10:03 PM
effinA effinA is offline
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Default Re: Sustaining a 31BB/100 Winrate at NL - I\'m Doing It

who is is guy
i thought this was joke thread!
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