Player Discussion

[El Diablo]

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I'm sorry, but I have had enough. I'll let others elaborate.

MM

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Mason, no-one is going to elaborate, because no-one has a f'ing clue what you are getting at.

JG

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Actually, I elaborated in detailed and showed exactly what Mason was getting at and where he got tripped up in his analysis.

What Mason got right was that given a certain set of simple assumptions, it is better (more +EV) for AQs to call than to fold.

However, Mason erred in extrapolating from that into believing that that fact made AQs a preferable hand to JJ in this specific situation.

Mason did half the work in his analysis. He figured out that AQs was +EV of 15. However, the conclusion he reached, that this made AQs better than JJ, is flawed. This is because he forgot about the fact that both of these hands can be +EV in this situation given the dead money in the pot. So, while AQs is +EV, JJ is still more +EV, and thus the better, more profitable hand, which the player should prefer to have.