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#1
10-30-2006, 03:32 AM
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Re: What size kicker to go broke with in HU play
the lowest kicker that can win against another kicker is (of course) a five. I therefore recommend you NEVER go broke with one lower than that... this includes 4, 3, and 2 (ace is high don't forget). So that leaves a kicker of 5 through A as possibilities to win... the "average" kicker will be 9.5... so you ought to be higher than that... the standard deviation of the possible "winning" kickers is 3.027. It follows that there is a 13% chance of someone having an ace or king kicker. Coupled with your desired winrate (lets assume 65%) leads me to conclude that if you hold a Jack kicker your opponent will have a lower kicker 68% of the time.
Therefore, I suggest you NEVER EVER EVER go broke with less than a JACK kicker... or it will be impossible to acheive a 65% winrate. ~rob 
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#2
10-30-2006, 04:46 AM
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Re: What size kicker to go broke with in HU play
It depends on his flop bet. The smaller it is (down to half pot), the higher is probability that he's valuebetting two pair. Altho at lower stakes almost everyone slowplays two pair. I would probably call the push with AK, depending on his timing, etc.
Overbet I would interpret as trying to end the hand there and then, meaning K with lower kicker. If he pushes my raise, I'd call with KT+. The pot would be rather large at that point anyway.
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#3
10-30-2006, 06:08 AM
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Re: What size kicker to go broke with in HU play
why raise flop
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#4
10-30-2006, 05:38 PM
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Re: What size kicker to go broke with in HU play
[ QUOTE ]
Therefore, I suggest you NEVER EVER EVER go broke with less than a JACK kicker... or it will be impossible to acheive a 65% winrate. [/ QUOTE ] Who says opponent has top pair? Also, I don't think you're going to win 65% of your matches vs someone this aggressive anyway. The higher %s come from the passive/weaker players, imo. (I honestly think I'm like 90% to win vs some of the superdonks who play like weak/passive autistic children that can never learn)
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#5
10-30-2006, 06:31 PM
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Re: What size kicker to go broke with in HU play
acida,
You take Rob too seriously. Think of him as Leno commenting on politics. Its just funny and you arent meant to be like "I'm not so sure about the socioeconomic effects of what you're suggestiong..." Acidca... ever done drugs?
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#7
10-31-2006, 01:17 AM
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Re: What size kicker to go broke with in HU play
[ QUOTE ]
acida, You take Rob too seriously. Think of him as Leno commenting on politics. Its just funny and you arent meant to be like "I'm not so sure about the socioeconomic effects of what you're suggestiong..." [/ QUOTE ] Yeah but like, I switch the channel when Leno comes on... [ QUOTE ] Acidca... ever done drugs? [/ QUOTE ] Have you?
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