Two Plus Two Newer Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Newer Archives > General Poker Discussion > Poker Theory

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 10-27-2006, 08:24 PM
AaronBrown AaronBrown is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: May 2005
Location: New York
Posts: 2,260
Default Re: Percentages

George Rice is correct, but you can approximate these things pretty well in your head. Calculators and tables have made a lot of people lazy.

Pocket 8's against AK? If no A or K shows up on the flop, 88 will usually win (straights and flushes to unsuited hands are rare, and don't even mention quads on the board). About half the time, neither of two cards will appear on the board. A few of those times, there will be a third 8. So it won't be any surprise to learn that 88 wins about 55% of the time.

The individual probabilities give you more detail than just knowing the probabilities of winning at showdown. Most of the time you don't get to showdown. 88 wins 55% of the time, but if one or more face cards shows up on the flop, it has to figure it's behind. If you fold it every time a face card and no eight is in the flop, you'll rarely win. But if you call raises in all those cases, you'll lose more the 45% of the time you lose than you win the 55% of the time you win.
Reply With Quote
Reply

Thread Tools
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 09:36 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2026, vBulletin Solutions Inc.