Helmuth - Ferguson Head Up Match Theory Question

[Shandrax]

[ QUOTE ]
this means that variance is maximized when your winrate is 50%. so people who think they can lower variance by playing less optimal are mistaken. play as optimal as you can and you will maximize the probability that you win that leg of the match and the match itself.

[/ QUOTE ]

So this is the solution? I guess my idea of maximizing variance wasn't far off.

The question remains, how do you play close to optimal? Move all-in if you got the SC number for it? That may only be half of the answer, what if you are in the BB and he limps or moves all-in himself?