Monumental mistake by Wasicka in the ME?

[pizzamanjax]

When they got down to 3 handed Wasicka lays down a oesfd. Is this correct to do except in a satelite? For me this seemed like a no brainer that he should call. His best chance to make a run at Jamie was to win that hand. By my best estimates they would have been virtualy even if he wins. Worst case Jamie has the best hand and it holds up and his still finishes 2nd. Is my logic flawed. For those not familiar w/ the hand Binger has ATh, Gold has 34c, and Wasicka has 78s flop comes 5s6sTc. Binger bets out Gold moves in.

[registrar]

Three handed at FT - what were the stacks?

[IcyHotMonkey]

I agree. Call.

[seke2]

Yeah, it was a monumental mistake in terms of cEV and even $EV, BUT you have to factor in personal utility, because if he folds and Gold busts Binger in the hand, that's like multiple millions of dollars more than coming in 3rd.

I honestly can't say I'd call in that spot if I knew that folding and sitting there quietly for a few minutes could have been worth a few million dollars, even though it's totally obviously a call in every EV way imaginable.

[registrar]

I think I call there. Impossible to know unless you're in that spot but how many millions does a man need? If I were there and already had in excess of $2m in the bag (I don't know the payouts), I'd be playing for first, I think. While an extra, what, $2m would be nice, it doesn't really make any difference (wealthy beyond my wildest imaginings as opposed to wealthy beyond my wildest dreams?) whereas first is and always will be first.

Yeah, definite call: Is there really any difference between $4m and 6m?

[betgo]

He made a weak/tight fold out of fear. The difference between 1st and 2nd was 3 times the difference between 2nd and 3rd. Plus 1st gets an endorsement deal and invitations to PSI4, PPT, and celebrity tournaments. A lot of people get weak/tight when there is a lot of money on the line, even some professional players.

[curtains]

seems like the most idiotic hand of all time, yes

[registrar]

Did Binger fold?

[kutuz_off]

FWIW, if Gold has a bigger flush draw, Wasicka is in trouble and is likely to bust in 3rd.

[IcyHotMonkey]

There is a massive difference between $4m and 6m... 2m to be exact. But I agree, top3 WSOP FT, go for first. In fact I'd insta call it.