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Old 08-26-2006, 05:52 PM
ZKoeske ZKoeske is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2006
Posts: 20
Default Re: Pokerstars Is Fixed

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No one said that Hand Histories have been used to actually prove it's not rigged.

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There has been a publication though of a poker player with a couple 100k hands in his DB where he compared the actual winning %'s with the theoretical winning rates.
All percentages were very close to the theoretical values.

Can anyone remember who this was? I've got to search around to see if I can find that article again...

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I would not at all be surprised that over 100k hands the win % of any given hand would be close to their theoretical values. However, this does not prove in any way that the sites are not rigged. My main contention was that the streaks are so extreme that it would be more beneficial to do an analysis of short runs of streaks, even though this would obviously be more difficult to prove statistically significant. I think it all balances out in the end though. With these extreme streaks occurring, not just sometimes, but seemingly always back to back to back continually, addicts are created and people can't stop either because they are always winning, or always losing (with hands that should be winning more often than not. So they continue playing instead of quitting. Does anyone know of such a statistical analysis done for multiple short hot and cold streaks in succession?
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