Week 1 CFB Notions

[pirateboy]

[quote

And, incidentally, don't you feel like the research that you did on the USC/MSU game is a heck of a lot more relevant than any "trend" stats that might be out there? Even though we disagree on the interpretation, looking at the details and trying to play out the different facets of the game in your mind is the ONLY way to win, IMHO.



[/ QUOTE ]

Ya know, I agree. This is way more fun, too. I love to discuss college football, and this is a great outlet. I will definitely stray away from "random" trends. Is there any value in doing what we just did on MSU/SC and then looking at trends as another piece of evidence to evaluate, albeit a small piece of evidence?

As for the actual game, my point about the running game is that Norwood was the huge reason MSU was decent in that facet. With someone less experienced and less talented, SC won't have to give as much attention as they would have if Norwood were there. Mississippi State is going to be a team over the first 3 games that I might avoid betting against or for, because its so questionable how their skill players will grow. I might actually hold off on that game, but I'm not sure yet. If I had to, I'd go with SC right now.

What do you think of the value of USC -8 @ Arkansas?