Will Bush Drop into the 30s?

[Roybert]

Yeah, and isn't Rasmussen the one that refuses to devulge ANY of their polling methodologies as well? I posted a link a month or two ago showing their faults (when someone else used their numbers to explain just how POPULAR Bush REALLY is), but I'm too lazy to find it now.

I do recall that no one responded to the link at the time, either. I guess the right wing on this board just waits a few weeks for a point to be forgotten before they start repeating their propaganda.

[Felix_Nietzsche]

Funny how some people prefer the clear outlier poll,
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LOL.......Funny how people select polls with a history of inaccuracies while proven polls are conveniently ignored. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

[Felix_Nietzsche]

Yeah, and isn't Rasmussen the one that refuses to devulge ANY of their polling methodologies as well?
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So what.....
Does Coca Cola publish their recipe?
Does KFC give out their recipe for their chicken?

Rasmussen had the most accurate poll in the last presidential elections. Remember all those fools claiming the exit polls showed Kerry with a HUGE lead....LOL [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

Why would Rasmussen be DUMB ENOUGH to give their methodolgy to their competition? I can understand why their competetion might because their methodology sucks so they really aren't giving much away. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

[Grey]

[ QUOTE ]
Why would Rasmussen be DUMB ENOUGH to give their methodolgy to their competition? I can understand why their competetion might because their methodology sucks so they really aren't giving much away. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

[/ QUOTE ]You know absolutely nothing about polling. Not a damned thing. I'm not calling you an idiot, but that post you just made was one of the dumbest I've seen.

For the 2000 election Zogby was the closest to the actual outcome of the election. Does that make them the best? Funny thing is Zogby is typically better for Democrats, and in 2000 there was a last-minute surprise about Bush's drunk driving record. Rasmussen is very pro-Republican, and at the last minute Bin Laden showed up on our television sets.

Polls are not election predictors. No real pollster or poll afficiando is under the misperception that you apparently are. Rasmussen is not a real pollster. That little blurb they put at the end of every one of their articles is just a marketing ploy that the uninformed buy into. Not many major media outlets pay attention to Rasmussen polls- and for good reason. They're a flash in the pan so right-wingers can look at their website and feel good about themselves. They don't take pride in their methodologies, or prestige; they take pride in their website visits.

I promise you Karl Rove isn't paying attention to Rasmussen either.

[Felix_Nietzsche]

You know absolutely nothing about polling. Not a damned thing. I'm not calling you an idiot, but that post you just made was one of the dumbest I've seen.
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LOL........feel free to share your polling credentials.
You probably do NOT know this but the KEY to a successful poll is to take a (1)random and (2)representative sample of the targeted population. Based on 2004, Rasmussen was the best!!!


For the 2000 election Zogby was the closest to the actual outcome of the election.
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Even a stopped clock is right twice a day.
Zogby sucked dog **** (gentitalia) in 2004. Based on their 2004 numbers, I suspect all the Zogby employees with brains (all one of them) left them to work for Rasmussen. [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img]

[Grey]

[ QUOTE ]
LOL........feel free to share your polling credentials.

[/ QUOTE ]I would but I'd rather stay anonymous on these boards and if I give you any you'd probably be able to find me.

Why doesn't your "stopped clock is right twice a day" argument work for Rasmussen?

[Felix_Nietzsche]

I would but I'd rather stay anonymous on these boards and if I give you any you'd probably be able to find me.
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Don't flatter yourself.
Screwball partisan liberals are a dime-a-dozen. Espcially in Travis County, TX.

I doubt you have even taken an elementary statistics class.

[Grey]

Answer the question.

[Jedster]

[ QUOTE ]
Based on 2004, Rasmussen was the best!!!

[/ QUOTE ]

Based on 2005, Joe Hachem was the best. And I submit that there is less difference among polls than there is among poker players. Anyway, just like short term results are often explained by variance, in polling there is this concept called margin of error. And when 2 of 3 polls point to answer A and 1 of 3 points to answer B, answer A is more likely to be correct.

[Grey]

Except in Rasmussen's case it's 1 out of at least 16.

And more polls are done when Bush goes up in approval rating so the "biased liberal media" line doesn't play.