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Old 07-27-2006, 05:17 PM
allenciox allenciox is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2003
Posts: 464
Default Re: Flop Decision w/ Bottom Two Pair

There is absolutely no reason to push this hand, you are in-position. There are a lot of hands he could hold here:

The ones that currently are ahead of you are:

AJ,J9,KK,QQ,TT,KQ,KT (16+16+3+1+1+6+6=49 hands)

He also might bet this way with:

AK,KJ,QJ,JT,JJ,AA (12+12+12+12+6+6=60 hands)

You are ahead on just over half the hands I include in his range. Of course, there is also the remote chance(I consider it almost nonexistent on this board) that it is a complete bluff.

So there is no reason to fold. There is also absolutely no reason to commit your stack here in-position. Almost all the possible hands that currently beat you are subject to redraws. Call and reevaluate on the turn. If you make a boat, you can safely commit your stack. If you call, and he checks the turn, you can feel pretty confident he is on a draw and make him pay for it then (very few players check-raise on both the flop and the turn). If he bets strongly on the turn or if a 9 or A comes, you can safely dump your hand then.
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