A bluff 400NL

[MDMA]

You are simply not getting this.

You just simply want him to FOLD in this very hand, and do not care how this decision effects your overall strategy, or how well it goes along with it. You do not care about getting paid when you have a good hand. You do not care about making the same play with a bluff as with the hand you are representing. You do not care about making heroic calls as costly as possible and therefore as difficult as possible.

You are not being realistic, I realized that as soon as I read "Yes, so if he's decided he can beat the repped overpair, he's very likely calling $150 or a push". You are seriously even CONSIDERING him to be considering whether he would call if he could beat AA. That is just ridiculous.

I'll tell you when your "150 vs 300-bet-theorem" is correct. It is in the very unlikely scenario that he's as likely to call 150 as 300, and that everything he calls with is BEATING AA. In other words, if the fact that you having AA is MEANINGLESS, e.g you're AA is as GOOD as a bluff and that you are not ever getting VALUE out of your AA, then you are correct in betting 150 instead of 300. Do you see how [censored] RIDICULOUS that idea is?

You simply care about getting this guy folding in this hand like this is the first and last poker hand in your entire life, without taking consideration to ANYTHING else.