whore this, ubersucker

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I'm having trouble understanding. You were flat-betting $10 and you lost $200 in 1600 WR or you lost the $100 bonus in 1600 WR?

Anyway, if you lost $200 (20 units) in 1600 WR (160 bets), a rough interpolation seems to suggest that that will happen 7.5ish% of the time you play. If you lost $100 (10 units), your result is extremely common.

Eyeballing the wizard's chart is plenty accurate enough, imo.

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With a standard deviation of 1.14, and being $192 or 19.2 bets below EV, through 160 bets, you are only 1.33 sigma off the norm.

Which is to say, yeah, it's quite common.