$60 - AKo - The Return of the Creature's Ghost in 3D

[durron597]

[ QUOTE ]
Guys, this is a call even if the opponent SHOWS YOU his A5.

If you fold, ICM says you have 5.32% equity in the prize pool.

If you push and win, you'd have a 18.80% equity.

Hence, you need to win 28.3% (.532/.1880) of the time here to break even.

<font class="small">Code:</font><hr /><pre>
http://twodimes.net/h/?z=1762770
pokenum -h ac ks - ah 5h -- ad 5s tc
Holdem Hi: 990 enumerated boards containing 5s Tc Ad
cards win %win lose %lose tie %tie EV
Ks Ac 283 28.59 699 70.61 8 0.81 0.290
Ah 5h 699 70.61 283 28.59 8 0.81 0.710</pre><hr />

The responses in this thread are horrible.

You're ahead here at least 10% of the time in a $60 too - that's not insignificant.

[/ QUOTE ]

UMTerp: Good post. However:

1) We are drawing to runner runner against a set, our equity is much lower than 28.6%
2) That's so close that it's basically EV 0 (same as a fold)
3) You are not ahead 10% of the time in a $60... if he had shoved maybe, but no one limps UTG and check-min-3bets a large flop raise with less than two pair!