Sticky question

[DuderinoAB]

I'm very interested in the math behind this. My normal strategy with stickies is all in on one hand and then play out with flat betting if I win. I don't know the exact math, but I'd guess your average single hand of blackjack gives the player app. 47-48% chance of winning. Obviously, especially for sites with high wr, you're going to give back a bit of your winnings when finishing the wr, but I doubt you are mathematically a favorite to hit your target making bets that are 20% of your starting stack and trying to reach double your starting stack. You can't mathematically be greater than 47% to win here can you? My odds might be a bit off, and, like I said, I'd like to know the math here...I don't necessarily know it. I guess I'm just curious to see some real evidence one way or the other.
Thanks,
Dude

[IggyWH]

Duderino,

You give quite a bit HA in BJ by not being able to double or split so all-in on 1 hand isn't considered the optimal strategy.

[Thremp]

[ QUOTE ]
Duderino,

You give quite a bit HA in BJ by not being able to double or split so all-in on 1 hand isn't considered the optimal strategy.

[/ QUOTE ]

By quite a bit the HA could be around 8x or more of the real HA.

It's almost better to throw it down on roulette all on black than bet it all on a BJ hand. Well if it wasn't banned.

[WLVRYN]

It sounds like Iggy and Thremp covered the reasons for not betting everything on one hand.

In my case, I had a really bad run of sticky losses by betting big hands right off the bat (I would usually bet 25% of my deposit). It might have been more of a psychological reason that I wanted to play more than 5 hands of BJ for my several hundered dollar deposits, but I started betting smaller (but still bigger than normal for me), but using a progressive system. I still bust stickies every once in a while, but my number of big wins has gone up significantly. I dont know if the software really is streaky or not, but a string of 6-8 wins in row happening a couple times on a deposit can easily lead to a nice cashout.

[DuderinoAB]

8x HA would still give you a 47-48% chance in most cases...in some of the worst games out there it might be 45%. I still can't imagine the EV is better than that for some other betting system. Maybe it is, but I've never seen the actual math for it. Anyone have anything besides reassurances without proof (not trying to be a smartass at all, but that's what you guys gave me).