Re: Hand from FT of Quadruple Shootout
Your options are simple. Longball or Smallball.
As you say: If you jam the pot with a 3x raise, there is a high likelihood you get called or villain comes over the top. This is a high variance, high reward play... because there is a ~50% chance of an overcard appearing on the flop if he calls (and he could have any ace or paint right?) If he pushes you are almost certainly flipping or dominated... I don't know the stove numbers for this, but it's probably something like 48% or better... in short , you have a thin but exploitable edge...
If you passively call, you are ideally looking for a seven on the flop. but even when you don't there is a fair chance that villain's hand did not improve... here you could use a decent size probe bet 1/2 to 2/3 of the pot (which is only about 200-300) and still get away with a manageable stack if he pushes back hard...
With your stack size I like the smallball approach with a middle pair OOP.. it's still five handed... you are getting fine odds to call and evaluate a flop.. you don't yet need to push your marginal edge to the max...
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