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#1
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You forget you see that you'll need to be at least 50% against his range here to call.. you are way below 50% against Ax and KT+, obviously, and below 50% against all pairs. So to call here, you'd need an equal amount of hands that you're the same amount AHEAD of to call.. this pushes his range up to some ridiculous amount, I would suspect at least 50-60% of hands, I haven't run it though.
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#2
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With the money in the pot, wouldn't I only need to be about 40-45% against his range to make this a correct call?
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#3
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No, you're thinking pot odds, not ICM. I'm surprised you are playing 119's with this lack of knowledge about ICM and stuff to be quite honest?
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#4
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To be honest, whenever I have tried to read about ICM I rarely finish reading. I'm sure it's useful, but it makes my head spin trying to calculate it in those stupid online ICM calculators. Worse though, it seems heavily based on knowing what the EXACT calling ranges of your opponents are and what they're pushing with, and any little change in those numbers changes the total outcome. It seems to me that you really don't know exactly what your opponenents are pushing and calling with, so the quality of the results from the ICM calculator is not very helpful (I'm probably wrong, but that's my opinion based on the admitly little I have read on it). I have never really tried to base my decisions on ICM. Maybe this is a mistake on my behalf.
I've always done very well at the 38's and have only recently jumped to the 119's (where I'm about even, but sample size is too small to mean anything). Maybe I'm a 119 fish [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] |
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#5
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Sigh, I have nothing more to say. If you're playing the 119s you can damn well for sure afford SNGPT. Why would you jump from the 38's to 119s? That's one hell of a jump, don't you think?
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#6
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[ QUOTE ]
Sigh, I have nothing more to say. If you're playing the 119s you can damn well for sure afford SNGPT. Why would you jump from the 38's to 119s? That's one hell of a jump, don't you think? [/ QUOTE ] Yes, it is one hell of a jump. I actually posted a question about this awhile back. I'm doing it because I like to play the 6 person sng's, but the 38's at Stars are making me mental because they take a full hour to complete. So i wanted to do 6 person turbo's, but the only 6 person turbo's stars has are the 119's....they don't have 55's or 38 turbo's at 6 max. So I decided to do the 119's. If I drop more than I'm comfortable with I'll have to drop back down to the 38's. To be honest, I'm not saying I'm Greg Raymer (I'm sure I have leaks and I think we have proven that), but I'm pretty confident in my game. I'm comfortable taking a shot at the 119's. |
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#7
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And you have the bankroll for it? Honestly, I don't think jumping because of there being not enough SNG's at a level, or because the speed is 'driving you mental' is really a good idea, especially not if it makes you go BUSTO.. but, each to their own..
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#8
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[ QUOTE ]
Maybe I'm a 119 fish [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] [/ QUOTE ] Based on what you've posted in this thread, I think the answer is almost certainly yes. |
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#9
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[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] Maybe I'm a 119 fish [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] [/ QUOTE ] Based on what you've posted in this thread, I think the answer is almost certainly yes. [/ QUOTE ] Okay. You try to make a joke around here and just like always the @ss-holes chime in with their opinion and ZERO helpful advice. I never claimed to be a pro or to make "perfect" decisions at the table. In fact, I even stated I have leaks. But in 18 months I've never had a losing month online and I've had many very successful months. I think I know more about how good or bad I am than what you think you know from reading 1 post.... |
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#10
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[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] [ QUOTE ] Maybe I'm a 119 fish [img]/images/graemlins/smile.gif[/img] [/ QUOTE ] Based on what you've posted in this thread, I think the answer is almost certainly yes. [/ QUOTE ] Okay. You try to make a joke around here and just like always the @ss-holes chime in with their opinion and ZERO helpful advice. I never claimed to be a pro or to make "perfect" decisions at the table. In fact, I even stated I have leaks. But in 18 months I've never had a losing month online and I've had many very successful months. I think I know more about how good or bad I am than what you think you know from reading 1 post.... [/ QUOTE ] Well, you had made 10 posts in this thread alone before I said anything so it wasn't from 1 post. And I'm not trying to be a jerk or make fun. ICM is critical to STT success, especially at the higher levels. The fact that you don't know anything about it and haven't even bothered to pay less than one buy-in for software to help you learn says a lot. Then you whip out your e-penis. What's the biggest downswing you've had? |
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