***uNL Microbrew Thread*** NOV 2007 (ot)

[Lego05]

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craps >>>>>>>>>>>baccar at>>>blackjack


except baccarat is kind of boring...craps is definately the most fun and has the 2nd best EV.

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Ah...blackjack's the only table game I know how to play (knowing how to play means having a +ev edge or having the lowest -ev disadvantage). And I really think I could pull off one of the simple counting systmes like KO or Hi/Lo but only if there were 3 or fewer players at the table....more than that + the dealer going as fast as he/she does and I get lost after 3-5 hands. Maybe if I practiced it....but that'd be stupid since I already have such an edge at certain poker games and I would rarely travel to AC to play blackjack.....plus their deck penetration is always gonna be an issue and I would likely need to learn a more complicated counting system to be able to really count on it to make some money.


Brag though: I'm up about $1200 on AC at blackjack (not counting comps)...it's been over 3 visits over the last 4 month or so.

Beat: I was up about $1875 on them until they gave me a free room for two nights in October and I went with my girlfriend for a fun getaway. I spent 70 bucks for a bottle of vodka (smirnoff too, nothing great) and orange juice (next time we bring our own booze) and I lost $640....she lost $100. (Just to clarify though she's still up like a bit over $200 and my dad was there once too and he made over $500.)



Variance...I have 4 free rooms (one per week) for November.



Thing I hate: The day I lost the $640 I had a $50 match play...meaning I put down 50 bucks and the ticket and its a $100 payout. I did it at single deck BJ table and I was the only one there, then one other guy sat....and it was easy enough to know I had a [censored] killer spot (not one card above a 7 had come out after 2 hands...so easy to spot) so I threw it down:


I got an 11 against a 6 for crying out loud. So I doubled down so I'm in for $150 + my ticket looking for a $200 profit return. Naturally the dealer makes a 21 so within the first 15 minutes I'm there I'm down $150 soon to be down $200 in my first 25 minutes.... when I actually knew I had a ridiculous +ev spot and played it as such. What really kills me is that I actually like really really knew how +ev a spot it was before the cards were dealt. I bounced aroound for a while and as late as 5 or so hours later I was up a bit but ended up down $640 that night.