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Old 10-31-2007, 03:19 PM
bills217 bills217 is offline
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Join Date: Jul 2005
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Default Re: Week 10 Early NCAA Lines

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or is there a legitimate reason for Texas to be favored here. Some injury or something that I'm missing.

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there a lot more texas natives betting texas than there are oklahoma natives betting OKSU (they bet OU).

the talent base at texas is significantly better than that of OSU, though that is qualified somewhat by systemic changes in the NCAA provisos..

both teams are inconsistent. when better talent plays inconsistently, they may play better than they appear; when lesser talent plays inconsistently, they often play worse than they appear. it is hard to give stats their proper weight in these circumstances. when betting the big 12, i have a tendency to give more weight to the history of two teams than i might in other conferences. texas is 19-2 against OkSU, and has won the last 9 consecutive games.

getting texas -3 is actually something of a bargain, in the light of these observations.

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I would assume your entire bankroll is on Notre Dame and their 43-game winning streak against Navy then? ND -3.5 is an amazing bargain in light of those circumstances!!!!!!11111
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