Problem with your book

[Alk3]

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im a roulette guy myself. don't listen to these idiots.

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Thank You.

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The idea is that since you missed your last 19 flushes, it doesnt mean you REALLY should mad number 20.

The odds of missing 20 flushes in a row are small, but these are separate events and time is a factor.

Your arguments is basically saying "the odds are small that I will miss 20 flushes in a row." This is true. But the statemet "I should make a flush now because I have missed my last 19 and it's very rare to make 20 in a row" is very false.

I think I just got punked.

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How can you say one and not the tother? If things didn't even out then probability wouldn't work. Probability does work, things even out, therefore, it is more likely (I"M not saying definite, I'm not even saying VERY likely), just more likely, that something that hasn't happenned in a while, but shoudl have, will happen.

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Again....NO. Now go away. You bother me.