ALCS - Indians vs Red Sox

[vhawk01]

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Yeah, I figured that and I wasn't making fun of you for making a bad bet. I am just a little confused as to what legend is getting at.

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The only thing I was getting at was whether the poster felt confident of winning his bet, or winning his bet with the odds laid. I knew Jurullo's prop was -EVfor him when offered, but I thought he might have a slight overlay after the three runs (I don't have the WinEx charts bookmarked like you guys). That was all I was asking.

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Ok, thats sort of what I figured but then people had been posting the win expectancy charts so I thought maybe you were making some subtle or tricky point that I just didn't understand. It is a good point in general that people feel really good being 4-1 favorites even when they are laying 10-1.