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| View Poll Results: who likes | |||
| check/call |
   
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1 | 8.33% |
| bet/call |
  
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5 | 41.67% |
| bet/3b |
  
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5 | 41.67% |
| check/raise |
  
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1 | 8.33% |
| bet/fold (NITS) |
  
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0 | 0% |
| Voters: 12. You may not vote on this poll | |||
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#11
10-10-2007, 07:37 PM
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Re: STTF SNG->cash thread
[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ] How do I set up the math to figure out how often villain has to fold to Cha's $3.50 bet assuming villain actually is ahead 60% of the time, and of course villain never calls with a losing hand? [/ QUOTE ] expectation of a bet = (times he folds * pot we win) - (times he calls * how much we bet and lose) E(bet) = (Fw * 4.25) - (Cw * 3.50) = 0 (for breakeven point) Fw = % villain folds winning hand Cw = % villain calls winning hand Cw + Fw = 1 [/ QUOTE ] Thank you very much. So can I just set the right side of the equation = 1.70 in order to find out how often the villain needs to fold in order for betting with the worst hand to be equal to checking behind? 
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