STTF SNG->cash thread

[Josem]

Karp,

1) I'm thinking about starting up a datamining sevice for PartyPoker for you muppets who don't have reads and PT stats on your opponents

2) PF - probably a little on the loose side, but your cards are pretty, you're the 4th person in, and you close the betting, so it is fine

3) Flop - checking is very standard. You don't want to 3-bet, and if you get raised by the pre-flop raiser (as is likely) you're going to be putting a lot of money in while behind.

Since you don't have the best hand here, and have no reasonable expectation of everyone folding, betting is a bad idea.

4) Turn - you now probably have the best made hand, and have a flush draw as well. I'd probably bet marginally more ($11 or $12 into a $16 pot) but your bet is better than nothing.

5) Betting is LDO, calling seems LDO. If you lose flush over flush, so be it. Some flushes beat you (A, K, Q); Some flushes lose to you (T,8,6,5). You also beat weirdly played overpairs, bluffs, TT, JJ, 77 and 89, which all might play that way.