Two Plus Two Newer Archives  

Go Back   Two Plus Two Newer Archives > PL/NL Texas Hold'em > Micro Stakes
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

 
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Prev Previous Post   Next Post Next
  #12  
Old 10-04-2007, 03:22 PM
Pokey Pokey is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Mar 2005
Location: Using the whole Frist, doc?
Posts: 3,712
Default Re: 25nl AA on a monotone flop; how is my line?

[ QUOTE ]
[ QUOTE ]
Bet flop, bet turn and charge for draws. Villain is going to call with so many worse hands.

[/ QUOTE ]

Please list these "worse hands" that a 16 VPIP player calls down with on this board.

[/ QUOTE ]

AKo with a club, which is about 0.5% of hands. Given that villain is smooth-calling a raise, we can assume he's doing that with "22-TT, AKo" or so, making this about 10% of his range.

But the worse hands that he calls are only half the story, here; let me list the worse hands that we WANT to fold and that WILL fold to a bet:

2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]2
3[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]3
4[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]4
5[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]5
7[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]7
8[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]8
T[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]T

If villain is set-mining, he's giving up on this flop. Your bet tells him that you've got QQ-AA with the club (he's looking for monsters under the bed, after all) and he "knows" that he's beaten and that he's got the worst draw, too.

Why give villain a free shot at drawing out on hitting one of his 11 outs when you can get him to fold and give you the pot? After all, if he's got 2[img]/images/graemlins/club.gif[/img]2 he's got about 40% pot equity right now, and if you fold him out on the flop you basically steal that extra $1. It's worth the bet.
Reply With Quote
 


Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT -4. The time now is 12:01 PM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2026, vBulletin Solutions Inc.