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Old 09-24-2007, 02:36 AM
Tackleberry Tackleberry is offline
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Join Date: Mar 2007
Posts: 528
Default Re: $10 turbo - overpair with JJ and 2 all-ins

[ QUOTE ]
/Sigh/

Seriously folks, this isn't that difficult of a problem. It isn't about "I think this is a close fold; I think this is a call."

The correct play is obvious and it is determined by MATH. Here is some math:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 44.690% 44.01% 00.68% 3284695448 50859508.17 { JcJs }
Hand 1: 36.895% 36.18% 00.71% 2700474303 53241227.67 { 66+, AQs+, AKo }
Hand 2: 18.415% 18.11% 00.31% 1351332184 23152859.17 { TT, AdKd, AdQd, AdJd, ATs, Ad2d, KdQd, KdJd, KTs, QdJd, QTs, JTs, T8s+, ATo, KTo, QTo, JTo, T9o }


I threw most (but certainly not all) of the possible flush draw hands in. I also put a bunch of the Tx hands in for player two. I think we have a very very very clear call. I could have also included underpairs like 88 and 99 for player 2, but w/e. Please call and please do math.

Sherman

[/ QUOTE ]

What did you wanted to prove with this? It looks like you did not take the board into account, didnīt you?

Board: Tc 4c Ts
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 16.467% 16.41% 00.06% 393184 1318.00 { JcJs }
Hand 1: 10.519% 10.41% 00.10% 249492 2509.50 { 66+, AQs+, AKo }
Hand 2: 73.014% 72.96% 00.05% 1747964 1191.50 { TT, AdKd, AdQd, AdJd, ATs, Ad2d, KdQd, KdJd, KTs, QdJd, QTs, JTs, T8s+, ATo, KTo, QTo, JTo, T9o }

With this figures it looks like a clear fold ... [img]/images/graemlins/smirk.gif[/img]

By the way - is anybody (besides me) concernd of the min-raise pf from UTG? My first intuitive reaction is AA/KK - however I already saw pf-minraises from ep with K8s ... What are you guys thinking?
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