Absolute Soulreading/Rigged thread #3

[Lyrrad]

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i need more popcorn i guess...

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Results:
for 100 hand spans using 13400 hands the confidence interval (usually you use 90% or 95%, that means in 90% you will be below this win rate over 100 hands) is:
90%: 103.65bb/100
95%: 124.07bb/100
99%: 164.15bb/100
99.999%: 283.99bb/100
99.99999999999%: 480.77bb/100
or 1:10000000000000 or 1:10E14

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Interesting analysys. Good work. We need more of this.


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Minor nitpick: These are statistics based on actual good, presumably tight, play. If you based the winrate based on the play of the players in question, I'm sure the average win-rate would be negative, but the STD deviation a lot, lot bigger. It wouldn't change the end result, but instead of 1 in a trillion, it might be 1 in a billion.