Absolute Soulreading/Rigged thread #3

[Drag]

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Drag, just so you know, Doubledrag's standard deviation was around 260 PTBB/100 in that 190-hand sample, and he won about 470 PTBB. Even if you think the loss rate should be -20 PTBB/100, the result is within 2 standard deviations.

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In the screenshot he posted, there is 400 hands, with winrate of 288PTBB/100. He won about 1200PTBB in these hands. Even if we take the SD you cited, i.e. 260PTBB/100, we'd get a result which is about 5 SD far from the mean ( -80 PTBB). I don't remember to what amounts 5SD, but I'd guess 10^-3 that I took as a VERY CONSERVATIVE estimate still holds.

As soon as you start to add more hands (and we know that he won about 0.5 million) we'd get even better purely statistical confirmation. Notice that we even don't need to discuss the specifics of individual hands to see that something strange is going on. Individual hands add even more evidence.