Daliman's NFL Wong teasers, Season Deux

[trixtrix]

there are some misconceptions here..

all things being equal: teasing +1/-7 team 6pts >> teasing +3/-9 teams 6 pts. this is b/c picking up only half of 7 (losing approx 14 cents) is far better than picking up half of 3 (losing approx 22 cents)

however observe the phrase "everything else being equal" carefully.. there are certainly outliers to this rule, for instance: teasing +3 -130 by 6 >> teasing +1/-7 -110 by 6. this is b/c while picking up only half of the 3 loses 22 cents on average, you're saving 20 cents on the vig..

finally, "ties no action" teasers are worth far more in situations where you're teasing to +7/-3 than in situations when you're teasing to -1/+9.. the reasoning can be solved by inspection