pokerev, winning pots without showdown [theory]

[BobboFitos]

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ive always maintained laggy play is the lower variance ride due to the major concept that pots won w/o showdown escape variance, ie. getting money into the pot which sees a showdown means the hot and cold ness factor predicates 'luck'. take it for what it's worth.

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OTOH, when playing LAG and running bad could mean that people happen to hold/catch hands they won't surrender to your aggression? Even more variance ?)

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no, it means you're losing at a more consistant rate.

the hypothetical i throw out is basically... a nit plays far fewer hands then a lag, GIVEN SAME WIN RATE, if a nit "runs bad" it takes far longer to even this out, given they have far fewer opportunities to capitilize on their expected win rate. ie, if over 1k hands they play 10% (or 100 hands) and "run bad," it will take net 300 hands (or 3k) to "even this streak," vs someone playing 3x the hands typically will have fewer swings.

there is alot more i have to say on this but it's probably wasted.