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Old 08-12-2007, 01:19 AM
tagtastic tagtastic is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 2,795
Default Re: Official August Thread: General Discussion, butterfingers/etc

[ QUOTE ]
Ok this seems to be saying the same thing, $5100 under equity. Am I reading it wrong again?

[/ QUOTE ]

Ya, that's right. Congrats, sounds like a fun run.

Running good or bad has a lot more to it than just equity in all-in pots though. Stuff like cooler frequency would be extremely difficult to calculate.

If you get it in with 2nd set 10 times in a row and lose to top set each time, you're gonna be slightly under expectation based on equity, but you're actually running seriously bad. The opposite can also easily be true (ie: you're hitting sets every other hand, but losing more than your fair share of them, graph will show you're owed equity, but you're actually running really hot hitting all those sets).

Also the many, many hands that aren't all-in before the river add up big too, and this is where this program kinda fails many times currently. If your opponent catches a very unlikely draw and you pay him off on the river, how should that equity be split up? Difficult questions.

The program is information, and any information is good, but it's far from complete. I hope the upcoming new version will have some more reliable statistics, and the capacity for analyzing more hands at a time.
 


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