NCAAF Team totals plays

[NajdorfDefense]

If Peyton Manning got hurt and Sorgi started for 8 games, then Manning returned at 100%, would you weight the Off Stats equally for both QBs?

What if Harrison also got hurt and missed 10 games? Would the Colts O stats w/Sorgi and Stokely's starting be a good substitute for Manning and Marvin's?

Would, perhaps, one underweight the Sorgi numbers? Or maybe overweight the Manning+Harrison performance, even if they didn't play 16 games together?

Thremp suffers from the Past is Perfect Unbiased Future Predictor fallacy. I'm not saying how much to adjust for losing a Manning, or regaining him. Just that it needs to be done.

When Manning goes out Week 8 would you adjust your estimates of the Colts offensive performance? There's your answer.