![]() |
|
#1
|
|||
|
|||
|
YTD 0-0 +0u
Well, it's been quiet here on the MLB front for a little while. And as I'm forcibly weaning myself from Crockpot's picks *sniff* and with great thanks and respect to the posters here I've designed a model that I think is different than TomG (and also unfortunately different than Crockpot). In no way do I claim it is better, and as this is a new system--fade/follow at your own risk. Some of you may recall I started this season blindly fading the Red Sox. Caveat bettor. What is different about it? Weighted lineups, attention to DIPS/sabermetric stats, and blending projections (PECOTA, etc.) and season to date stats. I've been winning with it but given the ridiculously small sample size I could just as easily prove the world is flat. Clearly, I will get crushed. 6/28 PIT@FLA FLA -156 Risk 3.12 units to win 2 CIN@PHI CIN +142 Risk 1 unit to win 1.42 STL@NYM STL +167 Risk 1 unit to win 1.67 COL@HOU COL +158 Risk 1 unit to win 1.58 CWS@TB TB -129 Risk 1.29 units to win 1 Good luck. |
|
|