River Decision with Pocket Qs H/U

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Utz

I said it before. STOP OVERTHINKING EASY SPOTS! Just bet. Not betting here is burning money

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Oink,

Do I fold to a ck/raise on the River?

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Since a bet has so much value you really shouldnt consider how to handle a c/r before determining whether to bet. You could always call a c/r and a bet still has +EV.

That said you should of course choose the optimal action when he c/r'es. In this spot against a fairly unknown in the sense I havent been c/r by him before on the river and I havent SD vs him a lot I think its an easy call.


Now if the decision whether to value bet is closer and by that I mean MUCH closer than this spot. Then you should not bet before finding out how to handle a c/r. But it is of upmost importance to value bet good hands in position even though you will hate getting c/r'ed. Because of the simple fact that the bet has so much value its +EV EVEN IF YOU ALWAYS CHOSE THE WRONG DECISION AGAINST A C/R.


Say that you are in a spot with 2'nd set on the river and he checks to you. You estimate that if you bet villain will call with 80% prob and always with a worse hand, he will fold 15% and he will c/r 5% ALWAYS with a better hand (say top set).

This is a very special spot. But note that if you always call the c/r then you clearly chose the wrong action against his c/r. However the EV of the bet is still 0.8*1-0.05*2 = 0.7


DONT OVERTHINK 0.5/1 LHE. JUST PLAY STRAIGHTFOWARD AND VALUEBET THEM TO DEATH