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  #11  
Old 06-19-2007, 11:18 PM
the_main the_main is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2004
Location: holdin\' a big pair
Posts: 2,976
Default Re: ** Official June Chat Thread: The Flush **

[ QUOTE ]
dont mean to be a nit, but those of you who think you're 3+ptbb winners haven't experienced the dark side of variance or are ignoring it when determining results. a few 50k hand stretches where big winners are standard losers will really decimate the winrate of a sub 500k sample.

or maybe someday i'll be winning at 3+ptbb. that will take a very long time though since my only couple 100k hands played have been infected with many heavy coolers. sometimes i think that maybe i just suck, but it doesn't seem that's the case because i've been trying hard for a long while, and a seemingly disproportionately large amount of my deep pots where i got in good were lost, and only a small percentage of my deep pots i got it in bad. didn't The Main go on an 80k breakeven stretch at 1/2? that must've annihilated his winrate when evaluated next to the previous and latter 80k hand stretches.

anyways, i guess im saying it'd be nice to see large, substantial samples when claiming how great of winners you guys are. if 1p0kerboy may be + or - $10,000 after 1mil hands (im guessing that'll be somewhere between 1/10th-1/15th actual money won) then variance at the 100k mark must be ginormous.

[/ QUOTE ]

Yeah I had a 100k and 50 or 60k breakeven pretty close together back in January. I have a 600k+ DB, and it hurt my rate a lot. I'm still around 2.5ish though.

I've made some changes to my style and game selection, and my rate is rising quickly (6ptbb this month so far).
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