Poker Hedge Fund

[baltostar]

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I've never laid more than 2% of my bankroll on a game, and it's perfectly reasonable and logical that I can in fact beat the house in sportsbetting.

College football is my life. I could've played if I hadn't gone to Berkeley, I understand the game more than most analysts and even some coaches. Two of my closest friends are coaching D-1A football (one is a QB coach and the other is a WR coach) and I watch 15-20 games a week. I get gametapes of most BCS teams (not TV recordings, actual game taps) and I've gone 161-90.

Do any sort of statistical test you want with as high a level of confidence as you can, 161-90 makes me without a doubt able to ebat 52.4% which is 10% juice... that doesn't even factor in the 5% that I got from pinnacle or the 2% that I would pay at matchbook which makes the margin 51% or less.

I don't play some gimmmick system, and I don't know where in my post you got SPORTS BETTING SYSTEM to bold in yours. I don't do parlays or national title picks or anythign else with ridiculous juice... I know football, I bet 5-10 games a week out of the 50+ that they make lines for, and I'm usually betting on wack games that nobody else is watching, I absolutely kill the MAC, WAC and Big East.

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I for one believe you that you are a winning player. I've seen it done for extended periods of time with horses, which arguably is a tougher game.

I think that the reason a lot of people doubt those who claim to be legit professional sports bettors is that the best and brightest have tried and failed. Stu Ungar is one notable example, although I'm not sure he was that good on the risk control side.

If the game's dirty, or you have inside dope, that's one thing, but winning legit over many years is very tough.