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#5
05-26-2007, 05:09 AM
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Re: Morgan Stanley says stocks could fall 10%
[ QUOTE ]
Question for the statistically minded: If you have an asset with a 17% standard deviation, how often can you say it will fall at least 10% in the next six months and end up being right on purely the basis of statistical fluctuation (incorrectly assuming a Gaussian dsd). [/ QUOTE ] what do you mean "end up being right"? Barron 
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